Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 13.661782 15.670410 17.808668 20.247486 22.944973 25.830227 29.142466
2025-02-02 11.329565 14.017437 17.046286 20.688538 24.924776 29.671499 35.366295
2025-02-09 9.518045 12.569401 16.177853 20.711133 26.202059 32.584629 40.507631
2025-02-16 7.773798 10.919832 14.811857 19.900835 26.292868 33.966299 43.776546
2025-02-23 6.654024 9.882028 14.039055 19.667521 26.960668 35.957050 47.743762
2025-03-02 5.662242 8.876701 13.179028 19.199069 27.228105 37.381443 50.981435
2025-03-09 4.941126 8.148273 12.596589 19.009828 27.787237 39.133382 54.627689
2025-03-16 4.255431 7.385222 11.883466 18.561926 27.933946 40.305908 57.513181
2025-03-23 3.828016 6.954734 11.592633 18.657360 28.787717 42.402555 61.633734
2025-03-30 3.415631 6.498290 11.216910 18.588064 29.381623 44.139842 65.295909
2025-04-06 3.122875 6.199884 11.047332 18.794015 30.351645 46.397251 69.698692
2025-04-13 2.860245 5.921215 10.880330 18.980711 31.283024 48.609781 74.078955
2025-04-20 2.693431 5.793646 10.945536 19.527432 32.768628 51.655453 79.714466
2025-04-27 2.509167 5.614004 10.908782 19.904625 34.005188 54.371879 84.947996
2025-05-04 2.275440 5.316115 10.649543 19.905663 34.660199 56.256444 89.037602
2025-05-11 1.936845 4.775741 9.931098 19.112431 34.046901 56.255787 90.410025
2025-05-18 1.724676 4.457793 9.572118 18.883203 34.289293 57.505145 93.597314
2025-05-25 1.505012 4.094870 9.100111 18.428396 34.142417 58.152121 95.900827
2025-06-01 1.344808 3.837357 8.799232 18.244701 34.414100 59.425431 99.142171
2025-06-08 1.172769 3.528579 8.373485 17.811028 34.248845 60.011679 101.356338
2025-06-15 1.076182 3.381153 8.247780 17.903291 34.952367 61.950302 105.636113
2025-06-22 0.972589 3.201929 8.043037 17.836199 35.378167 63.456908 109.282242
2025-06-29 0.903550 3.099269 7.985233 18.035485 36.259609 65.697474 114.089510